While the long-term projections for global aviation remain highly positive, Airports Council International (ACI) World warns that short-term challenges could hinder recovery in certain regions.
The latest Airport Traffic Forecasts 2024–2053 identifies a range of factors, including geopolitical tensions, economic instability, trade policy shifts, and supply chain disruptions, that may slow down aviation growth in the near term.
Rising geopolitical tensions in different parts of the world, along with reintroduced tariffs and shifting trade agreements, are affecting international travel demand. Additionally, economic uncertainty and inflationary pressures could reduce consumer spending on air travel, particularly in price-sensitive markets. These factors create volatility in airline operations and airport revenue streams, making short-term planning more complex for industry stakeholders.
Another pressing issue is the global supply chain bottleneck, which continues to impact the aviation sector. The shortage of aircraft parts, rising fuel costs, and logistical delays are putting financial pressure on airlines and airports, affecting fleet expansions and airport capacity enhancements. ACI World emphasizes the need for strategic planning to mitigate these short-term risks and ensure steady recovery.
Despite these challenges, industry leaders remain confident in the long-term resilience of air travel. ACI World urges governments, airlines, and airports to implement proactive measures, such as flexible policies, infrastructure investments, and strengthened international cooperation, to navigate the current uncertainties while preparing for sustained future growth.
